Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -16 (80-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Foye * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Murphy | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Williams * | 40 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter