Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (104-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Thomas * | 27 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette * | 25 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| John Salmons * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 23 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Cole Aldrich * | 22 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Toney Douglas * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 10 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 30 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 8-19 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 30 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Orton * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 12 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter