Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -1 (111-112). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 11-13 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 29 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 22 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 36 | 14-25 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 38 | 18 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| John Henson * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 28 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 28 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 26 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | - |
* = starter