Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +8 (109-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorell Wright * | 32 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 8-9 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 27 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Justin Holiday * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 36 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 32 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 31 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 25 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kim English | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter