Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +21 (121-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Thomas * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| John Salmons * | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Cole Aldrich * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Toney Douglas * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 21 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette * | 20 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 17 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 8 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 31 | 11-16 | 4-6 | 3-7 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 25 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| James Anderson | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter