Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -18 (89-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 31 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 27 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Mike James * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 23 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Josh Akognon | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Bernard James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Anderson * | 40 | 8-20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 36 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 26 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Xavier Henry * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darius Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter