Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (118-109). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 10-17 | 4-10 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 19 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 26 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Victor Claver * | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 37 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 31 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 35 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 19 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter