Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +10 (90-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 39 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| George Hill * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 34 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| David West * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Ayres * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Sam Young * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gerald Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Copeland * | 34 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 30 | 9-23 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 8 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| JR Smith * | 29 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James White | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter