Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +6 (93-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 38 | 11-20 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 35 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 27 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| MarShon Brooks * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 42 | 12-22 | 3-4 | 9-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 19 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 41 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-8 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Quincy Acy * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter