Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +12 (105-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markieff Morris * | 38 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 35 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 37 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter