Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -32 (88-120). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 28 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 27 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 26 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| DJ White | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shavlik Randolph | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Harkless * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Doron Lamb * | 24 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -1 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter