Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (118-116). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 44 | 17-31 | 9-15 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 33 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 43 | 10-24 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | - |
| David Lee * | 42 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 44 | 9-21 | 4-8 | 12-16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 17 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 14-22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 36 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter