Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -16 (90-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 11-12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 27 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 20 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Orton * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 38 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Victor Claver * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 19 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter