Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +7 (107-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Stiemsma * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 27 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 40 | 19-27 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 27 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 37 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter