Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -4 (78-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 24 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Arthur | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lin * | 45 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| James Harden * | 43 | 7-24 | 5-10 | 11-14 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 22 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 6 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter