Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +20 (113-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bismack Biyombo * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 36 | 9-21 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 35 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jeff Adrien * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 27 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 25 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kim English * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter