Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (91-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 36 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 24 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 24 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 6-18 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 27 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Mike James * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Josh Akognon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bernard James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter