Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -7 (104-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 38 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 33 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 9-17 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 30 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 21 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kim English | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 12-13 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Jones * | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 15 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter