Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +10 (113-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 47 | 7-27 | 1-8 | 6-10 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 42 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | - |
| John Henson * | 41 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 17 | 34 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ish Smith | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Harkless * | 50 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 46 | 6-22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 45 | 13-20 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 32 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 40 | 14-26 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Doron Lamb * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter