Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +16 (105-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexey Shved * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 26 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 22 | 0-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 9-21 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 35 | 10-19 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 19 | - |
| David Lee * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter