Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +19 (94-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh McRoberts * | 41 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 40 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 14 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Adrien * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 26 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 16 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter