Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -5 (91-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 34 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike James * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 24 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 6-19 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 38 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 | - |
| Victor Claver * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter