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Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—
Margin 30.8% 69.2% - โœ—
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% - โœ—

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -5 (120-125). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Raymond Felton * 39 5-12 1-3 5-6 4 8 1 0 0 16 17 -
Tyson Chandler * 38 6-9 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 2 1 15 13 -
Carmelo Anthony * 36 15-29 3-6 3-4 12 0 0 1 0 36 20 -
JR Smith * 34 7-18 2-9 6-8 7 4 0 0 3 22 12 -
Jason Kidd * 30 5-8 4-6 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 14 16 -
Pablo Prigioni * 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 3 3 -
Chris Copeland * 18 5-9 2-3 1-2 3 3 0 1 0 13 11 -
Steve Novak * 11 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Iman Shumpert * 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 45 7-17 0-2 13-15 3 7 0 4 4 27 20 -
Russell Westbrook * 33 15-27 2-4 5-6 11 8 1 0 1 37 29 -
Serge Ibaka * 32 6-6 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 5 1 13 17 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 29 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 8 7 -
Kevin Martin * 24 5-7 3-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 15 11 -
Kendrick Perkins * 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 3 5 5 -
Reggie Jackson * 21 6-8 1-2 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 13 14 -
Nick Collison * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 2 6 -
Derek Fisher * 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

* = starter