Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (99-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dahntay Jones * | 43 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mike Scott * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 27 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 39 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nando De Colo * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Danny Green * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter