Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +6 (107-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 40 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 27 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 42 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 31 | 1-13 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 21 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 17 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter