Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -9 (108-117). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 25 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 25 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mike James * | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Patterson * | 41 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 40 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 35 | 9-20 | 0-7 | 11-12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 13 | - |
| John Salmons * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Toney Douglas * | 17 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| James Johnson * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter