Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -2 (93-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 12-23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 11 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 12-23 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Quincy Acy * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Pekovic * | 41 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 12-16 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 34 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 7 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter