Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +18 (101-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 37 | 9-20 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 31 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Henson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 17-28 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 24 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| JR Smith * | 33 | 11-22 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Chris Copeland * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 18 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| James White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter