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2013-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Margin 6.2% 93.8% +15.0 โœ“ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.0% 79.0% - โœ“

Actual: LA Clippers +25 (126-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wesley Johnson * 41 7-15 4-8 2-2 2 3 0 1 1 20 10 -
Luis Scola * 31 3-7 0-0 4-4 11 1 0 0 3 10 12 -
Goran Dragic * 31 3-11 0-1 6-6 3 4 0 0 5 12 3 -
P.J. Tucker * 30 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 2 4 7 -
Markieff Morris * 25 1-9 1-3 2-2 8 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
Jared Dudley * 24 5-8 2-4 3-3 1 4 2 0 2 15 12 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 21 7-10 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 1 0 18 17 -
Michael Beasley * 16 5-8 0-0 3-4 2 3 0 0 0 13 10 -
Kendall Marshall * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Diante Garrett 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeAndre Jordan * 29 10-15 0-0 0-1 12 0 1 1 0 20 19 -
Jamal Crawford * 27 5-10 1-4 2-2 1 4 0 1 0 13 9 -
Blake Griffin * 26 4-7 0-0 1-3 5 7 1 0 2 9 13 -
Caron Butler * 26 6-13 3-5 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 15 10 -
Chris Paul * 26 4-10 1-3 6-6 1 12 4 0 0 15 22 -
Eric Bledsoe * 21 8-14 1-3 0-0 2 7 2 1 2 17 13 -
Lamar Odom * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 1 1 2 9 -
Matt Barnes * 19 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 7 9 -
Willie Green * 18 7-10 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 15 9 -
Ryan Hollins * 9 2-2 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Ronny Turiaf 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
Maalik Wayns 3 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

* = starter