Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -18 (76-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 28 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keyon Dooling | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 39 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -3 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Victor Claver * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Joel Freeland * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Will Barton * | 9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 7 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter