Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -9 (98-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Pekovic * | 36 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 34 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 18 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 39 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 37 | 12-21 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 22 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter