Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +5 (98-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 39 | 11-22 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 37 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 11-15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 23 | 2-17 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kim English | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 42 | 13-19 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Shavlik Randolph * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter