Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -13 (82-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 17-27 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 20 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| JR Smith * | 30 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 2 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 15 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Teague * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 38 | 9-14 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Al Horford * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter