Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -12 (90-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 18-26 | 7-10 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50 | 30 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| JR Smith * | 30 | 5-15 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Chris Copeland * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| James White | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norris Cole * | 41 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| James Jones * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter