Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (92-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Danny Green * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nando De Colo * | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tony Wroten * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter