Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +20 (112-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Ellington * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 28 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 18 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 35 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 31 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Darius Miller * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter