Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -13 (86-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 35 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 16 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tony Wroten | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Stiemsma * | 40 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 39 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 36 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 7-12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter