Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -10 (95-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 40 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 37 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 31 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 29 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 40 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 10-14 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Victor Claver * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Joel Freeland * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter