Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (104-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Griffin * | 38 | 7-20 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Willie Green * | 17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 28 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Danny Green * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 19 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nando De Colo * | 11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter