Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +8 (101-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 13-19 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 26 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 32 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 20 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Pekovic * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter