Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +9 (103-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Delfino * | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| James Harden * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 25 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| James Anderson * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 21 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Robinson * | 20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter