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Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“
Margin 45.2% 54.8% - โœ—
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ—

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -10 (87-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Thaddeus Young * 40 9-13 0-0 0-2 6 1 1 0 1 18 12 -
Damien Wilkins * 38 2-3 0-0 3-4 3 6 1 2 2 7 14 -
Evan Turner * 37 9-17 2-6 3-4 13 4 0 0 1 23 22 -
Spencer Hawes * 35 7-17 2-3 0-0 11 5 0 2 1 16 16 -
Jrue Holiday * 35 9-20 2-3 0-0 5 6 3 1 3 20 12 -
Dorell Wright * 20 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 2 -
Lavoy Allen * 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Royal Ivey * 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Arnett Moultrie * 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Jeremy Pargo 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tyler Zeller * 35 7-10 0-1 0-0 10 3 1 1 1 14 18 -
Shaun Livingston * 31 5-15 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 10 4 -
Wayne Ellington * 29 5-14 0-6 0-0 5 2 3 0 0 10 6 -
CJ Miles * 28 7-11 2-4 3-4 5 3 0 1 4 19 13 -
Alonzo Gee * 23 3-10 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 -1 -
Daniel Gibson * 23 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Tristan Thompson * 22 4-11 0-0 2-7 5 1 0 1 1 10 5 -
Luke Walton * 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 7 7 1 1 2 5 15 -
Marreese Speights * 12 1-6 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 2 0 6 4 -
Chris Quinn * 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter