Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -17 (82-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 37 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 32 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 26 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kim English * | 20 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 18 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter