Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +5 (97-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martell Webster * | 39 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| John Wall * | 37 | 11-28 | 1-2 | 12-14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 16 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| AJ Price * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Cartier Martin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jan Vesely | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 45 | 11-21 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 41 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| DeQuan Jones * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Doron Lamb * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter