Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -14 (103-117). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 30 | 12-16 | 1-2 | 9-9 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 31 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette * | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 10 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 31 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Diante Garrett * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter