Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +10 (113-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 36 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 18-20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 12 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 23 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 30 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 27 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter