Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +23 (103-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Singleton * | 40 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| John Wall * | 35 | 3-18 | 0-1 | 12-15 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 24 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jan Vesely * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 10-10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 10-11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 22 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter