Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +7 (108-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 39 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 12-14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 38 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 31 | 8-17 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Smith * | 41 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 12-13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 23 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 8-20 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 32 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 21 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 15 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Copeland | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| James White | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter