Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (114-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 45 | 10-20 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 43 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 42 | 6-19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 42 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 27 | - |
| DeQuan Jones * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Doron Lamb * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 44 | 13-23 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 42 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 23 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 18 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Adrien * | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter