Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +8 (100-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 41 | 12-21 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 35 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 34 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Turner * | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 37 | 6-17 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 27 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 26 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter